Tuggeranong United 1-0 Belconnen United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
13%
3.94
Away
43%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
13%
Draw
22%
-8.9pp
43%
Away Win
27%
+15.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Belconnen United EU Bookmakers 31%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Belconnen United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2026 Belconnen United Belconnen United 1-3 HT 0-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
25.07.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 Belconnen United Belconnen United AVNPL
29.05.2021 Belconnen United Belconnen United 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
11.04.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-1 HT 0-1 Belconnen United Belconnen United AVNPL
09.08.2020 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-0 Belconnen United Belconnen United AVNPL
04.04.2014 Belconnen United Belconnen United 3-1 HT 0-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United edged past Belconnen United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (44% / 13% / 43%) promised a tight game; Tuggeranong United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belconnen United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.33 for Belconnen United.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

Tuggeranong United 1-0 Belconnen United in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuggeranong United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 44%, draw 13%, Belconnen United 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuggeranong United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tuggeranong United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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