Riga Mariners 3-3 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 11 Jul 2026

Riga Mariners
3 - 3 HT 2 - 1 AET 3-3 · Pen 5-6
BFC Daugavpils
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Latvia - Cup – 2026

Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Riga Mariners v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Riga Mariners The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils The Market 58%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
– Attack Strength –
– Defense Strength –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
REVIEW Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Riga Mariners and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. BFC Daugavpils carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils Result & Final Score

Riga Mariners 3 - 3 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Cup on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 22%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 55%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LETK More Latvia - Cup
11 Jul 2026
18:00 FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova Analysis →
18:00 Auda vs Liepaja Analysis →