Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
16%
7.18
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
0.70/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
-45% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.1 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.87 xG 1.32
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
235 Passes 442
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia and Boca Juniors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Boca Juniors at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 37% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 63%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.87 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 32%, draw 27%, Boca Juniors 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
11 Aug 2024
02:30 River Plate vs Huracan Analysis →
21:00 Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Analysis →
21:00 Central Cordoba Santiago vs Defensa y Justicia Analysis →