Holbaek 2-1 Bronshoj BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 37%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bronshoj BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
12.10.2019 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
03.10.2015 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek nicked a narrow win over Bronshoj BK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bronshoj BK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holbaek had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holbaek and 0.00 for Bronshoj BK.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Bronshoj BK?

Holbaek 2-1 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Bronshoj BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bronshoj BK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 32%, draw 26%, Bronshoj BK 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bronshoj BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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