Zacapa Tellioz 0-2 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -12%
2.23/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.69
+27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Xinabajul
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.04.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
29.10.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul beat Zacapa Tellioz 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zacapa Tellioz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xinabajul led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 0.50 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Xinabajul?

Zacapa Tellioz 0-2 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 46%, draw 29%, Xinabajul 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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