Cliftonville 1-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.05
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.7
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
9%
15.2
X/X
9%
8.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.4
2/2
12%
10.4
2/X
7%
18.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
2.74/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.97
+8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
14.02.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
17.12.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-1 HT 2-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
03.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
05.04.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
11.12.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville squeezed past Portadown FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cliftonville and 0.50 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Portadown FC?

Cliftonville 1-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 53%, draw 21%, Portadown FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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