Jalapa 1-0 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa squeezed past Rancho Santana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Jalapa 1-0 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 48%, draw 26%, Rancho Santana 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ BTTS No
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11 Aug 2024
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