Polonia Bytom 5-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.52/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.99
+53% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
5-1
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom swept aside Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 57% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 43%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Polonia Bytom 5-1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 47%, draw 28%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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