Hougang United 5-1 Tanjong Pagar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.59
Over 2.5
70%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+5.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-5.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.2pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hougang United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tanjong Pagar EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.56/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/2.58
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hougang United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tanjong Pagar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar 1-1 HT 0-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
25.09.2023 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar 2-1 HT 1-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNK
19.08.2023 Hougang United Hougang United 3-3 HT 3-1 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar SİNP
28.05.2023 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar 1-3 HT 0-2 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
06.04.2023 Hougang United Hougang United 1-2 HT 1-0 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar SİNP
28.10.2022 Tanjong Pagar Tanjong Pagar 3-1 HT 1-1 Hougang United Hougang United SİNK
POST-MATCH Hougang United vs Tanjong Pagar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hougang United ran out comfortable winners over Tanjong Pagar 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hougang United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tanjong Pagar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hougang United and 2.00 for Tanjong Pagar.

What was the final score of Hougang United vs Tanjong Pagar?

Hougang United 5-1 Tanjong Pagar in the Singapore Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hougang United vs Tanjong Pagar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hougang United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hougang United 48%, draw 21%, Tanjong Pagar 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hougang United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hougang United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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