Platense 4-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -34%
0.87/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.14
-35% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2022 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
10.02.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense HON
27.09.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
18.04.2021 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
30.11.2020 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Platense vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense ran out comfortable winners over Lobos UPNFM 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Platense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Platense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Platense and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Platense vs Lobos UPNFM?

Platense 4-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Platense 42%, draw 31%, Lobos UPNFM 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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