Export Sebaco 3-0 Real Madriz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.43
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Madriz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
21.11.2021 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-3 HT 2-3 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
26.09.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 3-3 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Real Madriz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco ran out comfortable winners over Real Madriz 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madriz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 2.33 for Real Madriz.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Real Madriz?

Export Sebaco 3-0 Real Madriz in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Real Madriz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 52%, draw 23%, Real Madriz 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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