Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram Larvik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 II v Fram Larvik — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram Larvik Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Sarpsborg 08 II
NOR4
1-1
HT 0-0
Fram Larvik
NOR4
Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Fram Larvik — Actual Match Statistics
Fram Larvik squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fram Larvik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 59% of the ball to Fram Larvik's 41%, shots finished 21-11.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fram Larvik led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 II and 2.00 for Fram Larvik.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram Larvik?
Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Fram Larvik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Fram Larvik?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Larvik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 37%, draw 18%, Fram Larvik 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Larvik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.