UD Oliveirense 1-1 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Aug 2025

UD Oliveirense
1-1 HT 1-0
Farense
📅11/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

UD Oliveirense vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UD Oliveirense v Farense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.13/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.89
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses 22.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

UD Oliveirense vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Farense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.32 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
340 Passes 202
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Farense Farense 3-2 HT 3-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PRLK
14.04.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR2
30.10.2022 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
16.02.2020 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
01.09.2019 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
15.08.2015 Farense Farense 2-0 HT 2-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Farense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-1
AWAY Farense
2.71 xG 1.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
156 Passes 399
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense and Farense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Farense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 36% of the ball to Farense's 64%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 2.71 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UD Oliveirense and 2.17 for Farense.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Farense?

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 23%, draw 30%, Farense 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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