KAMAZ 1-2 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 11 Aug 2025

KAMAZ
1-2 HT 0-1
Fakel
📅11/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.08/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.38
+1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
29.08.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
1-2
AWAY Fakel
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel nicked a narrow win over KAMAZ 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Fakel made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 60% of the ball to Fakel's 40%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KAMAZ and 1.00 for Fakel.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Fakel?

KAMAZ 1-2 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 35%, draw 31%, Fakel 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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