Karlovy Vary 5-1 Chomutov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlovy Vary EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chomutov EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
211 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlovy Vary
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chomutov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
17.08.2022 Chomutov Chomutov 4-1 HT 3-0 Karlovy Vary Karlovy Vary ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlovy Vary
5-1
AWAY Chomutov
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlovy Vary swept aside Chomutov 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Karlovy Vary made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Karlovy Vary had 56% of the ball to Chomutov's 44%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov?

Karlovy Vary 5-1 Chomutov in the Czech Republic - Cup on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chomutov win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlovy Vary 32%, draw 27%, Chomutov 40%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chomutov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chomutov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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