Honduras 1-2 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Honduras EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 32%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Honduras
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jamaika
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
311 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Jamaika Jamaika 1-0 HT 0-0 Honduras Honduras CON
31.03.2022 Jamaika Jamaika 2-1 HT 2-1 Honduras Honduras DKE
14.10.2021 Honduras Honduras 0-2 HT 0-1 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
18.06.2019 Jamaika Jamaika 3-2 HT 2-0 Honduras Honduras GK
16.10.2013 Jamaika Jamaika 2-2 HT 1-2 Honduras Honduras DKE
12.06.2013 Honduras Honduras 2-0 HT 1-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Honduras
1-2
AWAY Jamaika
1.79 xG 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
442 Passes 269
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Honduras vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika squeezed past Honduras 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Jamaika found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Honduras had 60% of the ball to Jamaika's 40%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.79 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jamaika led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Honduras and 1.67 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of Honduras vs Jamaika?

Honduras 1-2 Jamaika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Honduras vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Honduras 38%, draw 31%, Jamaika 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Honduras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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