Dewa United 2-1 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.33/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.05
-8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.02.2024 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-1 HT 1-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
13.02.2023 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 3-2 HT 2-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
29.08.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 2-1 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
2-1
AWAY PSIS Semarang
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United squeezed past PSIS Semarang 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dewa United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dewa United had 45% of the ball to PSIS Semarang's 55%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dewa United and 1.67 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs PSIS Semarang?

Dewa United 2-1 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 37%, draw 28%, PSIS Semarang 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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