Etimesgut Spor 1-0 Kırşehir Futbol SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 11 Sep 2024

📅11/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırşehir Futbol SK EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.23/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.68
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs Kırşehir Futbol SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Spor squeezed past Kırşehir Futbol SK 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Etimesgut Spor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs Kırşehir Futbol SK?

Etimesgut Spor 1-0 Kırşehir Futbol SK in the Turkey - Cup on 11/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs Kırşehir Futbol SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etimesgut Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 51%, draw 24%, Kırşehir Futbol SK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etimesgut Spor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etimesgut Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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