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Roma (K) vs Sporting CP (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma (K) v Sporting CP (K) — Team-Based Signals
Roma (K) 1-2 Sporting CP (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP (K) squeezed past Roma (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Roma (K) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Roma (K) had 55% of the ball to Sporting CP (K)'s 45%, shots finished 17-9.
What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sporting CP (K)?
Roma (K) 1-2 Sporting CP (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sporting CP (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 59%, draw 20%, Sporting CP (K) 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma (K)) went the other way.