St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 3-1 Fortuna Hjörring (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Hjörring (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
3-1
AWAY Fortuna Hjörring (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
28 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Fortuna Hjörring (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) saw off Fortuna Hjörring (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 55% of the ball to Fortuna Hjörring (K)'s 45%, shots finished 28-7.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Fortuna Hjörring (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 3-1 Fortuna Hjörring (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Fortuna Hjörring (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 53%, draw 22%, Fortuna Hjörring (K) 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
11 Sep 2025
19:00 Katowice (K) vs Twente (K) Analysis →
20:00 Valerenga (K) vs Ferencvaros (K) Analysis →
20:00 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Analysis →
20:00 Brann (K) vs Manchester United (K) Analysis →
20:00 Hacken (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K) Analysis →
20:30 Vorskla Poltava (K) vs OH Leuven (K) Analysis →