Hartford Athletic 3-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
3-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic saw off Greenville Triumph 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 57% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 43%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Greenville Triumph?

Hartford Athletic 3-1 Greenville Triumph in the USLKP on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 50%, draw 25%, Greenville Triumph 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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