Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Sep 2026

📅11/09/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.2
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 350
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
27.08.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-6 HT 1-3 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
13.02.2021 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
18.10.2020 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
07.06.2020 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
29.11.2019 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
PREVIEW Union Berlin vs Schalke 04
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Union Berlin, but not by enough to write Schalke 04 off.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Union Berlin's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Union Berlin against 0.83 for Schalke 04.

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Kick-off Time

Union Berlin play Schalke 04 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/09/2026, kick-off 21:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 is a Union Berlin win at about 43% probability, priced 2.2 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Union Berlin 43%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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