Tenerife 2-3 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2024

Tenerife
2-3 HT 1-0
Real Zaragoza
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Tenerife vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.45
Over
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.13
No
66%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2.12
2-3
35%
1.82
4-5
15%
5.99
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.91
X/2
13%
6.26
X/X
15%
3.23
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
43%
-9.2pp
66%
BTTS No
57%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tenerife v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.14
-23% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.9 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Tenerife vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
374 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-1 HT 2-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.08.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
26.05.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
28.10.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.04.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.12.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-2 Tenerife Tenerife İS2

Tenerife 2-3 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-3
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.14 xG 2.42
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
158 Passes 413
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Real Zaragoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 32% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 68%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.14 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Zaragoza's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tenerife and 1.33 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Real Zaragoza?

Tenerife 2-3 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 39%, draw 31%, Real Zaragoza 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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