Paradou 1-3 Oued Akbou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 34% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
1-3
AWAY Oued Akbou
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paradou vs Oued Akbou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Akbou beat Paradou 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Paradou at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paradou had 55% of the ball to Oued Akbou's 45%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Paradou vs Oued Akbou?

Paradou 1-3 Oued Akbou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs Oued Akbou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paradou 45%, draw 24%, Oued Akbou 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paradou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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