Holbaek 1-0 FA 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.51/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.66
-23% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FA 2000
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.09.2019 Holbaek Holbaek 4-0 HT 2-0 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holbaek
1-0
AWAY FA 2000
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs FA 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek edged past FA 2000 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Holbaek had 66% of the ball to FA 2000's 34%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs FA 2000?

Holbaek 1-0 FA 2000 in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs FA 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 48%, draw 26%, FA 2000 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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