Colchester United U21 2-3 Queens Park Rangers U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.64
Away
29%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.5pp
29%
Away Win
41%
-11.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.61/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.99
+62% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester United U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
22.02.2024 Queens Park Rangers U21 Queens Park Rangers U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
27.11.2023 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 3-6 HT 2-3 Queens Park Rangers U21 Queens Park Rangers U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Colchester United U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers U21 nicked a narrow win over Colchester United U21 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Queens Park Rangers U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colchester United U21 and 3.50 for Queens Park Rangers U21.

What was the final score of Colchester United U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

Colchester United U21 2-3 Queens Park Rangers U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester United U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Colchester United U21 36%, draw 34%, Queens Park Rangers U21 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colchester United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester United U21) ✓ BTTS Yes
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