FC Gifu 2-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.44/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.50
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
19.08.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-5 HT 1-2 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
22.07.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
10.09.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
29.05.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
24.10.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 3-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
2-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
346 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu squeezed past Parceiro Nagano 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day FC Gifu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 52% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 48%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Gifu and 1.50 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Parceiro Nagano?

FC Gifu 2-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 37%, draw 31%, Parceiro Nagano 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Gifu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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