Puntarenas FC 1-0 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 11 Oct 2024

Puntarenas FC
1-0
Guadalupe
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Costa Rica - Cup – 2024/2025

Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puntarenas FC v Guadalupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Guadalupe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
06.02.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 0-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.09.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC edged past Guadalupe 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Puntarenas FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guadalupe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.33 for Guadalupe.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe?

Puntarenas FC 1-0 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 48%, draw 25%, Guadalupe 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →