Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.65
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.4pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.59/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.15
+11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR3
16.04.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
1-3
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.99 xG 2.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 100
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 beat Uniao De Leiria 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 55% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 45%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.99 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 0.50 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932?

Uniao De Leiria 1-3 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 35%, draw 23%, Felgueiras 1932 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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