Almanya U20 3-1 Polonya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 11 Oct 2024

Almanya U20
3-1
Polonya U20
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
U20 Elit League – 2024/2025

Almanya U20 vs Polonya U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almanya U20 v Polonya U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya U20 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U20 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Almanya U20 vs Polonya U20 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya U20
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Polonya U20
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
11.09.2023 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 1-1 HT 1-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 U20EL
27.03.2018 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 3-0 HT 1-0 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 HAZ
16.11.2015 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 HAZ
27.03.2015 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 HAZ
18.11.2014 Polonya U20 Polonya U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Almanya U20 Almanya U20 HAZ
POST-MATCH Almanya U20 vs Polonya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U20 got the better of Polonya U20 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almanya U20 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almanya U20 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Almanya U20 and 0.60 for Polonya U20.

What was the final score of Almanya U20 vs Polonya U20?

Almanya U20 3-1 Polonya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya U20 vs Polonya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Almanya U20 53%, draw 19%, Polonya U20 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U20), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U20) ✓ Over 2.5
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