Dep. Colonia 1-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No Pick
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dep. Colonia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dep. Colonia
1-1
AWAY Juventud
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dep. Colonia vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dep. Colonia and Juventud couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Dep. Colonia had 30% of the ball to Juventud's 70%, shots finished 5-6.

What was the final score of Dep. Colonia vs Juventud?

Dep. Colonia 1-1 Juventud in the Uruguay Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dep. Colonia vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dep. Colonia 34%, draw 26%, Juventud 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventud), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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