Baerum 5-1 Ulfstind — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.7pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.9pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulfstind EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.96/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/4.08
-7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
382 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
5-1
AWAY Ulfstind
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Ulfstind
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum swept aside Ulfstind 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baerum had 67% of the ball to Ulfstind's 33%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Ulfstind?

Baerum 5-1 Ulfstind in the Norway - 3rd Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Ulfstind?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Baerum 67%, draw 15%, Ulfstind 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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