Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor 3-2 Fatsa Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.5pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatsa Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +22%
2.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
+48% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +69%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fatsa Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2025 Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Fatsa Belediyespor Fatsa Belediyespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor
3-2
AWAY Fatsa Belediyespor
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor edged past Fatsa Belediyespor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor had 58% of the ball to Fatsa Belediyespor's 42%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor 3-2 Fatsa Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor 55%, draw 22%, Fatsa Belediyespor 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yozgat Bld.Bozokspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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