Bistrica 0-2 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.38
+80% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Nafta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 Nafta Nafta 3-1 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.08.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
22.04.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
07.10.2022 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-2 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
0-2
AWAY Nafta
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta beat Bistrica 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Nafta made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 49% of the ball to Nafta's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bistrica and 0.75 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Nafta?

Bistrica 0-2 Nafta in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 36%, draw 27%, Nafta 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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