Birmingham City U21 3-2 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.0pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 squeezed past Leeds United U21 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-2 Leeds United U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 27%, draw 32%, Leeds United U21 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leeds United U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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