Hobro IK 2-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 11 Nov 2024

Hobro IK
2-2 HT 0-2
Hillerod
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hobro IK vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.43
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.37
X/2
6%
5.74
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
21%
3.76
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hobro IK v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.17/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
-32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
23.4 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Hobro IK vs Hillerod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Hillerod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
303 Passes 480
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.11.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
04.08.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
10.04.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
11.02.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 2-2 HT 1-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
20.08.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1

Hobro IK 2-2 Hillerod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
2-2
AWAY Hillerod
1.45 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 490
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK and Hillerod shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 44% of the ball to Hillerod's 56%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.45 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hobro IK and 1.00 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Hillerod?

Hobro IK 2-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 39%, draw 25%, Hillerod 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hobro IK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →