Rancho Santana 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.09.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rancho Santana
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana and Deportivo Ocotal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rancho Santana had 49% of the ball to Deportivo Ocotal's 51%, shots finished 21-8.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Rancho Santana 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rancho Santana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 38%, draw 30%, Deportivo Ocotal 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rancho Santana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rancho Santana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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