Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United saw off Nakhon Pathom 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 65% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 35%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.08 to 1.27.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Muang Thong United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 62%, draw 22%, Nakhon Pathom 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.