Cove Rangers 1-2 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.14/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.04
-53% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
186 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 155 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
18.01.2025 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKK
20.07.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 3-0 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKLK
26.12.2020 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
14.11.2020 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKLK
07.11.2020 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
09.07.2019 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers HAZ
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic nicked a narrow win over Cove Rangers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cove Rangers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cove Rangers and 0.83 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Forfar Athletic?

Cove Rangers 1-2 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 52%, draw 23%, Forfar Athletic 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers)
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