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Lyon (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals
Lyon (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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1-3
HT 0-2
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Lyon (K)
ŞMP-K
2-4
HT 0-2
Lyon (K)
ŞMP-K
2-1
HT 2-0
Wolfsburg (K)
ŞMP-K
1-4
HT 0-0
Lyon (K)
ŞMP-K
Lyon (K) 3-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon (K) got the better of Wolfsburg (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lyon (K) had 71% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 29%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 4.00 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.83 for Wolfsburg (K).
What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?
Lyon (K) 3-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 74%, draw 12%, Wolfsburg (K) 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.