Atalanta II 2-1 Clodiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Clodiense EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.31/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.13
+33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-1
AWAY Clodiense
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Clodiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II squeezed past Clodiense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta II had 59% of the ball to Clodiense's 41%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Clodiense?

Atalanta II 2-1 Clodiense in the Italy - Serie C on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Clodiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 56%, draw 20%, Clodiense 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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