Urawa Red (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Urawa Red (K) win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-7.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.08/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/0.95
-24% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +143%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
03.05.2024 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Urawa Red (K) Urawa Red (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red (K)
2-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Urawa Red (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red (K) had 61% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 39%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Urawa Red (K) and 0.00 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Urawa Red (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Urawa Red (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red (K) 64%, draw 18%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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