Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Namungo EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.48/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.94
-57% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagera Sugar
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Namungo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.03.2022 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
03.10.2021 Namungo 1-1 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Kagera Sugar vs Namungo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagera Sugar and Namungo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kagera Sugar and 1.00 for Namungo.

What was the final score of Kagera Sugar vs Namungo?

Kagera Sugar 1-1 Namungo in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagera Sugar vs Namungo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagera Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kagera Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Namungo 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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