Inverness CT 0-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 12 Jan 2024

Inverness CT
0-1 HT 0-0
Dundee United
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Inverness CT vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.12
1/2
6%
23.45
1/X
5%
17.35
X/1
8%
11.25
X/2
14%
3.65
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
34%
1.95
2/X
6%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inverness CT v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
0.88/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.61
-10% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 83%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.4 Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Inverness CT vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dundee United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
23.09.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
21.02.2020 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
02.11.2019 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
03.08.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 4-1 HT 2-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
17.05.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 3-0 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL

Inverness CT 0-1 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inverness CT
0-1
AWAY Dundee United
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Inverness CT 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Inverness CT had 51% of the ball to Dundee United's 49%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Inverness CT and 2.33 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Dundee United?

Inverness CT 0-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 21%, draw 24%, Dundee United 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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