Hull City 1-2 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Jan 2024

Hull City
1-2 HT 0-1
Norwich City
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Hull City vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.14
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
22%
5.06
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
11%
4.19
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hull City v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.82
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.3 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hull City vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Norwich City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.64 xG 1.77
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
234 Passes 452
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.08.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.03.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
27.11.2018 Hull City Hull City 0-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.03.2018 Hull City Hull City 4-3 HT 2-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Hull City 1-2 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-2
AWAY Norwich City
0.97 xG 1.40
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
600 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City nicked a narrow win over Hull City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hull City had 67% of the ball to Norwich City's 33%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.97 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hull City and 2.00 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Norwich City?

Hull City 1-2 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hull City 47%, draw 25%, Norwich City 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hull City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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