Eibar 2-0 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Jan 2024

Eibar
2-0 HT 1-0
Racing Santander
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eibar vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.01
X/2
8%
8.53
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
11%
6.51
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eibar v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.17
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
24.6 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Eibar vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.01 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
458 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 3-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
14.05.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
25.09.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-1 HT 2-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.02.2002 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
03.10.2001 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2

Eibar 2-0 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-0
AWAY Racing Santander
1.54 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
426 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar got the better of Racing Santander 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 58% of the ball to Racing Santander's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.54 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.80 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Racing Santander?

Eibar 2-0 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eibar 49%, draw 27%, Racing Santander 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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