Hapoel Migdal Haemek 3-1 Hapoel Kfar Kana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Alef, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
63%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.2pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.4pp
63%
Away Win
74%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Migdal Haemek EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Kfar Kana EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
210 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Migdal Haemek
3-1
AWAY Hapoel Kfar Kana
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hapoel Migdal Haemek vs Hapoel Kfar Kana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Migdal Haemek got the better of Hapoel Kfar Kana 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hapoel Kfar Kana at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Migdal Haemek had 50% of the ball to Hapoel Kfar Kana's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Hapoel Migdal Haemek vs Hapoel Kfar Kana?

Hapoel Migdal Haemek 3-1 Hapoel Kfar Kana in the Israel - Liga Alef on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Migdal Haemek vs Hapoel Kfar Kana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Kfar Kana win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Migdal Haemek 21%, draw 16%, Hapoel Kfar Kana 63%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Kfar Kana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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