Bayern Münih 3-0 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 Jan 2024

Bayern Münih
3-0 HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern Münih vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
4.67
Over 2.5
71%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.75
No
37%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
12.15
2-3 Goals
32%
2.8
4-5 Goals
33%
2.3
6+ Goals
19%
2.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.19
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
34.0
X/1
22%
3.8
X/2
4%
34.0
X/X
4%
15.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.2
2/2
4%
25.5
2/X
6%
31.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-11.7pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.3pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.5pp
29%
Under 2.5
18%
+10.6pp
71%
Over 2.5
82%
-10.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.8pp
37%
BTTS No
47%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern Münih v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.86/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.28
+38% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
559 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
42.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.3 Crosses 14.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bayern Münih vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.21 xG 1.36
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
520 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
22.10.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-2 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.03.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
23.10.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 2-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
30.01.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.09.2020 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 4-1 HT 2-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1

Bayern Münih 3-0 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
3-0
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.77 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
581 Passes 327
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
60 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Hoffenheim 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 61% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 39%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 2.77 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Hoffenheim?

Bayern Münih 3-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 70%, draw 18%, Hoffenheim 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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