Marsilya 1-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 Jan 2024

Marsilya
1-1 HT 1-0
RC Strasbourg
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
20%
3.67
X/2
9%
9.97
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
6%
8.46
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.71/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.45
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.9 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
2W-4D-0L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
422 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
12.03.2023 Marsilya Marsilya 2-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 0-2 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
21.05.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 4-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
12.12.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
30.04.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 1-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1

Marsilya 1-1 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
1-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.36 xG 1.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya and RC Strasbourg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Marsilya carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Marsilya had 47% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 53%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.36 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Marsilya and 1.00 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg?

Marsilya 1-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 57%, draw 23%, RC Strasbourg 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marsilya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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