AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.38
No
29%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.1pp
71%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.1pp
29%
BTTS No
32%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 edged past Cardiff City U21 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 48%, draw 29%, Cardiff City U21 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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